"I CAN SEE CLEARLY NOW, THE RAIN IS GONE..." Johnny Nash hit number one on the charts with this classic tune in 1972...and 35 years later, Fed Chairman Big Ben Bernanke is singing the same tune, mentioning in comments last week that the Fed would be more transparent so we all can see their policies clearly.

The new, improved, and more transparent Fed is a far cry from the days of "The Cryptic One"...Former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan, who was famous for his hidden messages. After a Greenspan speech, many traders were left scratching their heads and wondering what exactly was said. In sharp contrast, Bernanke has been very clear and easy to understand.

More importantly, Ben has done a good job of keeping inflation under control. The latest read on inflation was tame for last month, as a large jump in energy costs were offset by meek automobile, housing, and clothing prices. This suggests that higher oil prices haven't yet pushed up the prices of other goods overall.

But one topic that is still cloudy is the Fed's next move on December 11th. The latest chatter from the "more transparent" Fed indicates that the Fed will not cut - but traders in the pits are betting the ranch on another quarter-point cut. One thing is very clear - this topic will be debated right up until the Fed makes the announcement.

Bonds and home loan rates saw quite a bit of activity in the holiday shortened week, but ended up exactly where they started.

THANKSGIVING WITH ALL THE TRIMMINGS IS RIGHT AROUND THE CORNER...WILL YOUR WAISTLINE END UP EXACTLY WHERE IT STARTED? READ THIS WEEK'S MORTGAGE MARKET VIEW FOR SOME INTERESTING TABLE TOPICS.

What little economic news we'll have during this Thanksgiving Holiday shortened week takes place this Tuesday and Wednesday...and the market is scheduled to close early on Wednesday and Friday with a full-day close on Thursday.

The most interesting news of note for the coming week will be the latest housing data, coming with Tuesday's release of the Housing Starts and Building Permits report. Also on Tuesday, the Fed "unplugged"...the Minutes from the last Fed meeting will be released, providing the commentary and discussion between both voting and non-voting members. This may provide additional insight into the Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut rates by another quarter percent - and any unexpected comments could cause some movement in Bonds and home loan rates prior to the Thanksgiving Holiday.

In general, Bonds and home loan rates have improved in recent weeks - and until a catalyst arrives to knock Bonds and home loan rates off the "Up Escalator" of improvement, we will likely continue to see more of the same.

A DAY OF THANKS

Thanksgiving is upon us! This popular autumn holiday traces its roots back to a three-day feast held in 1621 to celebrate the blessing of a bountiful harvest. It took more than 240 years, however, for Thanksgiving to become a national holiday. In 1863, President Abraham Lincoln finally proclaimed the last Thursday of November as a national day of thanksgiving. Years later, President Franklin Roosevelt stated that Thanksgiving should always be celebrated on the fourth Thursday of the month--as opposed to the occasional fifth Thursday.

Mmmm... Eel and Seal. My favorite!

What exactly did the pilgrims eat at the first Thanksgiving? According to food historian Kathleen Curtin, the answer may surprise you. In addition to wild turkey, other popular sources of meat that were likely served include eel, clams, lobster, wild goose, eagles, venison, and seal...yes, seal. Peas, beans, and carrots were probably on the table, but sweet potatoes and corn on the cob weren't. And although pumpkins were likely consumed, pumpkin pie wasn't...because no such thing existed at that time.

Talking Turkey...272 Million Turkeys!

The popularity of turkeys during the holidays and throughout the year has turned turkey farming into a big business. In fact, the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service estimates that 272 million turkeys will be raised in the US this year alone. That's an increase of 4% over 2006!

Weighing In on What We Eat

Ever wonder how many cranberries, pumpkins, and other Thanksgiving Day foods we go through each year? The US Census Bureau has the skinny! According to their research, the US produces some serious poundage when it comes to these holiday favorites, including:

• 690 million pounds of cranberries

• 1.6 billion pounds of sweet potatoes

• 1 billion pounds of pumpkins

• 841,280 tons of snap green beans

No wonder we feel so full after those holiday meals!

Can Turkey Really Make You Tired?

Here's how the story goes. Turkey contains tryptophan...which helps the body produce niacin...which then helps produce serotonin. And serotonin is the key to this theory because it calms the brain and induces sleep.

The problem with that theory is that tryptophan actually works best on an empty stomach-which most of us don't have after our Thanksgiving feast! So, it's more likely that the heaviness and the high carbohydrate content of the entire Thanksgiving meal are responsible for that sense of lethargy you feel, as your body works to digest it all. Add a glass of wine or a cocktail to your meal, and you'll increase that sense of sleepiness even more.

Here's to another happy Thanksgiving Day for you and yours! As always, if you have any questions or need any assistance, please don't hesitate to call.

Economic Calendar for the Week of November 19 – November 23

DING-DING-DING!! When the bell sounded at the end of the trading day on Friday, traders trudged off the scenes like defeated boxers at the end of a grueling match. Stocks got pummeled last week with a 600-point decline on the Dow, during a week that was full of subprime home loan related headlines. Write-downs of the value of these holdings spooked the financial sector, which led the Stock market on its slide lower.

Normally, Mortgage Bonds and home loan rates find improvement when money is flowing out of Stocks - that money being pulled out needs somewhere to sit, and Bonds are generally the glad recipient. And while some Bonds did enjoy a great week - like Treasury Bonds - Mortgage Bonds actually worsened because of their relation to the issue at hand, fears of the credit quality of these Bonds, and home loan rates worsened slightly as well. And if the Stock market had not sold off so hard, sending money into all types of Bonds, Mortgage Bonds and home loan rates would certainly have been much worse off.

BUT REGARDLESS OF MARKET UPS AND DOWNS - SLOW AND STEADY WILL WIN THE RACE TO YOUR COMFORTABLE RETIREMENT. READ THIS WEEK'S MORTGAGE MARKET VIEW FOR A FEW EASY WAYS THAT YOU CAN ENSURE YOUR OWN PLANS STAY ON TRACK.

With the market closed on Monday in observance of Veteran's Day - the rest of the week will roar into action with a packed economic calendar, including a look at retail sales numbers, consumer and producer inflation, and the manufacturing sector too.

Remember that when Bond prices move higher, home loan rates improve - and you can see in the chart below that despite some ups and downs, Bond prices have overall been trending higher over the last few months, meaning home loan rates on conforming loans have improved in general. Any weak or negative economic news arriving this week should help money flow into the safe haven of Bonds, helping Bond pricing move higher and home loan rates move lower. And the chart also shows some nice technical "floors of support" that may help Bonds continue their overall trend of improvement.

But lingering concerns on the credit quality of Mortgage Bonds could hamper their road higher - so this week could be volatile, depending on the flavor of the headlines on this topic. And in this week's planned economic releases, any scent of inflation in the reports will be very bad news for Bonds - which deliver a fixed return that is eroded by the effects of inflation - so that would spell bad news for home loan rates as well.

DID YOU KNOW...

That if you wait until you're 45 years old to start investing for retirement, you'll need to save about $24,000 per year just to reach a reasonably comfortable retirement level? But if you start when you're 25, you can reach that same level by saving just $4,000 per year. So starting as early as possible is important - but even if you didn't, you can use the simple tips below to get on track right away.

Give Your Retirement Plan a Raise

The more you make the more you spend...so the next time you get a raise or a bonus, break the cycle! Set aside that extra money and invest it in your future. You will not even notice it now...but you will in the long run.

Make a Big Impact Without Denting Your Budget

If you're about to pay off a car, student loan, or some other monthly expense, you can make a huge impact on your investment plans by simply adding that extra money to your retirement account. You're already used to living without it, so it won't impact your monthly spending money at all.

Out of Sight, Out of Mind Investing

Don't forget to make your investments automatic. It's much easier--and a lot less painful--to have that money simply deducted from your paycheck and electronically deposit. You'll save the same amount every month...and save yourself the trouble of writing that check!

Eliminate High Rates

Want to earn a 17%, 18% or even 19% return right away? It's easy...put together a plan to pay off your credit cards faster, starting with the highest rates. By paying it off quickly--and keeping it paid off--you'll eliminate the high interest charges that tighten drain budget and often put people into a downward spiral of debt.

Make the Most of Matching Contributions

If you have access to a 401(k) retirement plan, make sure you are using it - especially if you get matching contributions from your employer. See how much you have to contribute to earn the full matching amount from your employer - and if you can't contribute that much right away, start small and steadily increase your contribution over time until you reach it. You'll double your money with the employer's match...and your contributions are generally taken out of your check pre-tax, so your savings costs even less in real, after tax dollars.

It's NOT All or Nothing

Don't feel like you have to jump in with everything you've got. The most important point is to get started right away...not next month or next year, but right now with whatever amount you can. You can always increase the amount you invest...but you can never get back the compounding interest you'll lose by waiting.

And remember, if you have any questions - including how a mortgage can be structured to jumpstart your retirement plan or a recommendation to a great financial planner - please don't hesitate to call!

Economic Calendar for the Week of November 12 – November 16

"Time is on my side...yes it is" - Rolling Stones. Mortgage prices were jostled and bounced around throughout a wild week of economic news and Fed moves. But in the end, time was on the side of those who were patient, as pricing finished the week right about where it began, leaving fixed home loan rates unchanged.

Last week's highlights included a quarter point Fed rate cut, which brings the Fed Funds Rate down to 4.5%. The Prime Rate now stands at 7.5%, which is good news for home equity lines, consumer and business loans. Additionally, those who have adjustable type loans should see some benefit. But because a Fed cut can stimulate the economy and bring some inflation, fixed home loans tend to worsen a bit after the Fed cuts rates.

The latest read on Inflation was right in-line with the Fed's target. A 1.8% annual Core Inflation rate was reported, which is within the 1%-2% Fed comfort zone - good news for bonds.

Help wanted! Well at least it was for 166,000 Americans during October. This was the best report since May and twice the forecasted amount. The Report showed the rate of unemployment at a very respectable 4.7%. This type of strong report often leads to trouble for bonds, but a look deeper into the numbers showed the Hourly Earnings figure to be less inflationary than expected. The markets are concerned about wage based inflation, but Average Hourly Earnings increased by just 3 cents to $17.58 per hour.

PEOPLE OFTEN WISH FOR MORE TIME. AND THIS WEEKEND THAT'S JUST WHAT WE WILL GET - AN EXTRA HOUR TO CATCH UP ON THINGS OR MAYBE SOME EXTRA SLEEP. FIND OUT THE DETAILS ALONG WITH SOME WILD EVENTS THAT CAN HAPPEN WHEN WE CHANGE TIME, IN THIS WEEK'S MORTGAGE MARKET VIEW!

Have you ever flipped through all your TV channels to find nothing on? Well, that's how market traders will likely feel this week as they flip around for some economic news releases. But the news calendar takes a well deserved rest next week with mostly lower to mid-level reports scheduled. That means bonds will probably trade inside the range illustrated below - unless stocks bust a major move. If stocks rally sharply higher, bonds will be sold off to raise the cash needed to chase stocks, causing home loan rates to rise. Should stocks slump on more fears about credit quality, the proceeds from the stocks sold will be parked into bonds - bidding them up and helping home loan rates improve.

Turning Back the Hands of Time

This weekend, the sun sets on another season of Daylight Saving Time. In case you hadn't noticed, Daylight Saving Time (DST) was actually extended this year by an entire month--it began earlier last spring and ran longer into this fall. But, alas, all good things must come to an end...and this year Daylight Saving Time ends Sunday, November 4th.

The extra month that we enjoyed was actually the result of the Energy Policy Act, which was enacted by Congress back in 2005. Originally, the bill was written to extend Daylight Saving by two months, but some very verbal opponents fought the change. Farmers say that DST has a negative impact on their livestock in general--as it is tough for them to adapt to the time change, and they consequently produce less milk, eggs, etc. Because DST is not followed uniformly around the world, airlines claim that it might mean many missed international flight connections. Additionally, TV and Cable stations argued that they would lose viewers and advertising revenue, simply due to less time spent in front of the television because of more time spent outdoors in daylight.

So a compromise of one additional month of DST was reached. However, Congress did retain the right to revert back to the old dates if the change proves to be widely unpopular, or if the energy savings aren't significant.

Why the change?

After making the adjustment to getting up an hour early, Americans overwhelmingly like Daylight Saving Time. There is simply more sunlight in the evenings to enjoy the outdoors and get things done. Additionally, there may be emotional benefits, as we typically feel better with more daylight. Plus, additional hours of daylight can help save energy on a national scale. Less electricity is needed, as fewer lights are turned on as early in the evening...and with energy costs so high, even a small amount of savings is very welcome.

And brighter is safer--studies have shown that the DST shift reduces traffic accidents. An increase in accidents in the dark mornings is more than offset by the evening decrease in accidents, due to the increased visibility gained with more sunlight. Halloween is also arguably safer. Child pedestrian deaths are four times higher on Halloween than any other night of the year. This year, however, trick-or-treaters were able to spend an extra hour gathering treats while it was still light out. Candy manufacturers are happy too, as they've lobbied for years to have DST extended through Halloween.

A study by the US Law Enforcement Admin also determined that crime is consistently lower during DST, with violent crimes down as much as 10% to 13%. For many crimes, like mugging, darkness is a factor--so more light in the evening hours reduces these types of crimes.

And throughout its long history, Daylight Saving Time has had a remarkable and sometimes unexpected impact.

A man was actually able to avoid the draft for the Vietnam War using a Daylight Saving Time loophole. When he was born, it was just after midnight, DST. When he was drafted, he successfully argued that in his home state of Delaware, standard time--not DST--was the official time for recording births. So he was technically born on the previous date--which had a much higher draft lottery number - and he was able to avoid being drafted.

In September 1999, the West Bank was on Daylight Saving Time, while Israel had switched back to standard time. A group of West Bank terrorists prepared some timed bombs--but misunderstood the time change--and the bombs exploded early, killing the terrorists themselves, rather than the intended victims--two busloads of innocent citizens.

In the 1950s and 60s, each state and locality was permitted to choose start and end DST dates as they desired. During 1965, Minneapolis and St. Paul--which are considered one metropolitan area--didn't agree on start dates, and for a period of time, these Twin Cities had a one hour time change between them. And on one Ohio to Virginia bus route, passengers technically had to change their watches seven times in 35 miles!

To keep to their published timetables, Amtrak trains cannot leave a station before the scheduled time. So when the clocks "fall back" in the fall, all trains that are running on time actually stop at 2:00am--the official time of DST change--and wait one hour before resuming their routes. In the spring, the routes instantaneously become one hour behind schedule, but they just keep going and do their best to make up the time.

So Daylight Saving Time sure can have some unexpected impact.

In particular, be sure to double-check all of your electronic devices and confirm that the time is correct. Although you may be accustomed to your computer and maybe even your digital clock in your car automatically updating, the recent change of dates for Daylight Saving Time may require that these devices be manually changed, as they now may NOT be ready to update to the correct time on the correct date!

Economic Calendar for the Week of November 05 – November 09