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2007/9/24

MMG Weekly: Fed Cuts, But Some Rates Still Bid Higher

If you can't see the newsletter, or would like to view it online, use this link If you have received this newsletter indirectly and would like to be added to our weekly distribution list, use this link
 
 
Provided to you Exclusively
By
John Gallardo
 
John Gallardo
Certified Mortgage Planner Specialist
Office: 949-842-9789
E-Mail: john.m.gallardo@cox.net
 
John Gallardo
 
For the week of Sep 24, 2007 --- Vol. 5, Issue 39
Last Week in Review

MEASURE TWICE...CUT ONCE. And like this old saying advises, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his Federal Open Market Committee probably measured their decision quite a few times before making their recent .50% cut to the Fed Funds Rate. But if the Fed's history of making cuts and hikes in cycles continues - this cut is probably not a "one and done".

Here's what the Fed had to say as they announced the cut: "Economic growth was moderate during the first half of the year, but the tightening of credit conditions has the potential to intensify the housing correction and to restrain economic growth more generally. Today's action is intended to help forestall some of the adverse effects on the broader economy that might otherwise arise from the disruptions in financial markets and to promote moderate growth over time." This means that the Fed will take whatever steps are necessary in terms of rate cuts to try and prevent a possible recession, so long as inflation remains in check.

Initially, both Stocks and Bonds rallied on the comforting words from the Fed - but as Bond Traders analyzed the potential future impact of the Fed cut over the following days, they started selling off Bonds with both hands, causing fixed home loan rates to rise by .125 to .25%, actually higher than where they stood before the Fed Rate Cut. What happened?

Traders realized that a Fed Funds Rate cut could encourage increased spending by consumers and businesses, as borrowing costs will now be cheaper for Home Equity Lines of Credit, consumer loans like car loans and credit cards, and business loans as well. In turn, increased spending can translate into increased inflation in the long run - and inflation is bad news for Bonds. Bonds deliver a fixed rate of return, and the value of that return is eroded by inflation. So Bond Traders sold, the price of Bonds moved lower, and home loan rates moved higher as a result. Counterintuitive to many...but its reality, and now you understand what many do not - including much of the mainstream media.

AND WHILE THE FED MAKES A BID FOR LOWER RATES, EBAY SELLERS HOPE TO SELL TO THE HIGHEST BIDDER. WHAT ARE SOME OF THE HOTTEST TIPS TO GAIN THE MOST AND HIGHEST OFFERS WHEN SELLING ON EBAY? READ THIS WEEK'S MORTGAGE MARKET VIEW.

Forecast for the Week

An action packed economic calendar is ready to unfold for the week, with a look at Consumer Confidence and Sentiment, New and Existing Home Sales, GDP, Manufacturing - you name it, this week has got it. But many of the week's reports will pale in comparison to Friday's big enchilada, the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Index. Why is it so important? Because this is the report the Fed watches most carefully to gauge consumer inflation.

And we know that the Fed feels inflation is presently under control, giving them the green light for the recent cut to the Fed Funds Rate. So will this important report show a tame read on inflation, and confirm the Fed's move to cut? Fed Chairman Bernanke and his fellow inflation-fighters at the Fed certainly hope so. Inflation-hating Bonds would also appreciate news of soft inflation, and home loan rates could improve as well. But what if the report shows stronger than expected consumer inflation? If it does, inflation-hating Bonds will react negatively, and home loan rates will move higher in response.

The chart below shows how Bond prices are fighting to stay above the 200-day Moving Average, which could continue to act as a nice "floor of support" if Bonds can hold their ground. Remember that when Bond prices move higher, home loan rates improve...so staying above this floor of support would be a very positive sign. But with the plethora of economic news and headlines arriving during the coming week, capped off by Friday's high impact PCE, Bond pricing and home loan rates will likely continue on their volatile path.

Chart: Fannie Mae 6.0% Mortgage Bond (Friday Sep 21, 2007)
Japanese Candlestick Chart

The Mortgage Market View...

GOING ONCE...GOING TWICE...SOLD ON EBAY!

The garage sale season is coming to an end, but if you haven't had a chance to clean out your closets or spare rooms yet, don't fret. One of the most powerful sales is taking place right this minute...actually every minute of every day...on eBay!

The online auction site has quickly become a convenient way for consumers to buy the goods they're looking for--and for sellers to actually make money by auctioning off items they don't need or want. Even though listing and selling items may be easy, the tips below can help you increase the number and size of the bids you receive!

What You See Is What You Get. Believe it or not, many buyers won't even look at your ad if you don't provide a picture of it...they still want to see what they're buying. To increase your number of potential bidders, make sure you include a quality photo for every item you're selling.

How Low Can You Go? It sounds a little counter-intuitive, but the lower you start the bidding, the more money you may get. In fact, starting the bidding at 99 cents--versus a dollar or more--attracts a larger number of bidders. This larger pool has two powerful impacts. First, the more bidders you have, the more new bidders will be drawn to your ad, believing that you've got a red-hot item. Second, many bidders will continue the bidding game once they've begun it, which means they may bid more in their third or fourth round then they would have been willing to offer if you started that high in the first place. Finally, remember that your profit isn't just determined by how much you sell your item for...you also have to consider how much you will have to spend in order to sell it. By listing your item at 99 cents, you'll qualify for the lowest eBay listing fee.

Don't Get Carried Away With Shipping. In order to receive an item, the buyer must pay for shipping in addition to the winning bid amount. Those shipping fees aren't determined by the post office...they're actually determined by you. To make sure you don't drive buyers away, clearly list the shipping fees that apply. And don't get greedy and run up those fees. Smart shoppers will know you're trying to take advantage of them and they'll walk away. So, be clear and be fair!

Consider the Alternatives. Potential buyers will find your ad through searches. To make it easier for them to find it, consider alternative spellings--such as "videogame" and "video game." Also, once buyers find your ad they may have questions. To make sure they can contact you, consider providing a second e-mail address, in case your primary one is only checked while you are at work.

Everybody Loves Options. Some buyers prefer paying for their online purchases through a secure Internet payment service; others prefer using credit cards. Increase the number of bidders interested in your item by offering a variety of payment options.

Know When to Post 'Em and When to Hold 'Em. The day that you post your ad makes a difference. For instance, if you post a 10-day ad, the best day is Thursday. That way, your auction will end on a Sunday...which happens to be a big day for eBay bidding. Plus, your ad will be up for two full weekends, thus increasing your exposure on active bidding days. If you're getting ready to list an item, take a minute to consider how the listing day will impact your sale. It's better to wait a few days and get a better price in the long run, rather than rush into a situation that might mean fewer--and consequently lower--bids.

Follow these tips, start off small and work your way up to more expensive items, and have fun watching buyers bid!

The Week's Economic Indicator Calendar
Remember, as a general rule, weaker than expected economic data is good for rates, while positive data causes rates to rise.

Economic Calendar for the Week of September 24 – September 28

Date
ET
Economic Report
For
Estimate
Actual
Prior
Impact
Tue. September 25
10:00
Consumer Confidence
Sept
104.5
 
105.0
Moderate
Tue. September 25
10:00
Existing Home Sales
Aug
5.55M
 
5.75M
Moderate
Wed. September 26
08:30
Durable Goods Orders
Aug
-2.5%
 
5.9%
Moderate
Wed. September 26
10:30
Crude Inventories
9/21
NA
 
-3874K
Moderate
Thu. September 27
10:00
New Home Sales
Aug
830K
 
870K
Moderate
Thu. September 27
08:30
Jobless Claims (Initial)
9/22
315K
 
311K
Moderate
Thu. September 27
08:30
GDP Chain Deflator
Q2
2.7%
 
2.7%
Moderate
Thu. September 27
08:30
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Q2
3.9%
 
4.0%
Moderate
Fri. September 28
08:30
Personal Income
Aug
0.4%
 
05%
Moderate
Fri. September 28
08:30
Personal Spending
Aug
0.4%
 
0.4%
Moderate
Fri. September 28
08:30
Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core PCE
Aug
0.2%
 
0.1%
HIGH
Fri. September 28
08:30
Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core PCE
YOY
1.8%
 
1.9%
HIGH
Fri. September 28
09:45
Chicago PMI
Sept
53.5
 
53.8
Moderate
Fri. September 28
10:00
Consumer Sentiment Index (UoM)
Sept
84.0
 
83.8
Moderate

The material contained in this newsletter has been prepared by an independent third-party provider. The content is provided for use by real estate, financial services and other professionals only and is not intended for consumer distribution. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, there is no guarantee it is not without errors.

As your trusted advisor, I am sending you the MMG WEEKLY because I am committed to keeping you updated on the economic events that impact interest rates and how they may affect you.

In the unlikely event that you no longer wish to receive these valuable market updates, please USE THIS LINK or email: john.m.gallardo@cox.net

If you prefer to send your removal request by mail the address is:

John Gallardo
609 Calle Ganadero
San Clemente, CA 92673

MMG II, LLC is the copyright owner or licensee of the content and/or information in this email, unless otherwise indicated.   MMG II, LLC does not grant to you a license to any content, features or materials in this email.   You may not distribute, download, or save a copy of any of the content or screens except as otherwise provided in our Terms and Conditions of Membership, for any purpose.

Equal Housing Lender          
 
2007/9/18

Talking about FED CUT both Fed rate and Discount rate 50 BPS

 

 

If you can't see the newsletter, or would like to view it online, use this link

If you have received this newsletter indirectly and would like to be added to our weekly distribution list, use this link

 

 

 

Provided to you Exclusively

By

John Gallardo

 

John Gallardo
Certified Mortgage Planner Specialist
Office: 949-842-9789
E-Mail:
john.m.gallardo@cox.net

 

John Gallardo

 

Sep 18, 2007

 

 

 

Special Fed Alert

 

 

The long awaited Fed decision arrived with a bang! The Fed surprised many economists and traders with a half percent cut in both the Fed Funds and Discount Rates. Stocks soared higher and enjoyed their largest gain since 2003.

What does the Fed cut mean? Rates on consumer debt, car loans, and Home Equity lines will all benefit. But because Home Loan rates are tied more closely to inflation, it is not uncommon to see less of a reaction...or even an opposite reaction in mortgage rates.

The Fed cut also hurts rates of return on investments, which gives foreign investors less incentive to invest in US securities. This has sent the Dollar much lower against the currency of most major foreign countries. This makes foreign goods more expensive for us to buy, which adds to inflation pressures.

Overall, the Fed cut is good news for the economy, but may nudge inflation a bit higher.

 

 

 

The material contained in this newsletter has been prepared by an independent third-party provider. The content is provided for use by real estate, financial services and other professionals only and is not intended for consumer distribution. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, there is no guarantee it is not without errors.

 

As your trusted advisor, I am sending you the MMG WEEKLY because I am committed to keeping you updated on the economic events that impact interest rates and how they may affect you.

 

In the unlikely event that you no longer wish to receive these valuable market updates, please USE THIS LINK or email: john.m.gallardo@cox.net

 

If you prefer to send your removal request by mail the address is:

 

John Gallardo
609 Calle Ganadero
San Clemente, CA 92673

MMG II, LLC is the copyright owner or licensee of the content and/or information in this email, unless otherwise indicated.   MMG II, LLC does not grant to you a license to any content, features or materials in this email.   You may not distribute, download, or save a copy of any of the content or screens except as otherwise provided in our Terms and Conditions of Membership, for any purpose.

 

Equal Housing Lender          

 

Quote

FED CUT both Fed rate and Discount rate 50 BPS
 

To All,

 

Good News that the Feds on both the Fed Funds rate and discount rate of 50 basis points (BPS) or .5%. We will see how this affects the markets in the financial sector. For those positioning for loans currently and/or in the near future, this is the first rate cut in 4 years. Many economists were looking at 25 bps increase so the Federal Reserve Chairman and members must believe in our need to stimulate this economy is a high priority at the moment. Now let’s see the rate improvements on Mortgage rates in the secondary market as seen in the Charts that I have sent you in the past to really measure the impact of the Feds rate cut.

 

See my Blog for other valued information on the Real Estate and Finance industry

 

Peace and Freedom,

 

John M Gallardo

949-842-9789

 

 

PS Please leave a comment or Blog, I apprecaite your input...

FED CUT both Fed rate and Discount rate 50 BPS

 

To All,

 

Good News that the Feds on both the Fed Funds rate and discount rate of 50 basis points (BPS) or .5%. We will see how this affects the markets in the financial sector. For those positioning for loans currently and/or in the near future, this is the first rate cut in 4 years. Many economists were looking at 25 bps increase so the Federal Reserve Chairman and members must believe in our need to stimulate this economy is a high priority at the moment. Now let’s see the rate improvements on Mortgage rates in the secondary market as seen in the Charts that I have sent you in the past to really measure the impact of the Feds rate cut.

 

See my Blog for other valued information on the Real Estate and Finance industry

 

Peace and Freedom,

 

John M Gallardo

949-842-9789

 

 

PS Please leave a comment or Blog, I apprecaite your input...

2007/9/17

Talking about Mortgage Market Guide week 9-17-07

 I will post the last info based on this newletter later comments and blogs are highly appreciated other may have the same questions

 Freedom and Peace

John M Gallardo

 

 

Quote

Mortgage Market Guide week 9-17-07
If you can't see the newsletter, or would like to view it online, use this link If you have received this newsletter indirectly and would like to be added to our weekly distribution list, use this link
 
 
Provided to you Exclusively
By
John Gallardo
 
John Gallardo
Certified Mortgage Planner Specialist
Office: 949-842-9789
E-Mail: john.m.gallardo@cox.net
 
John Gallardo
 
For the week of Sep 17, 2007 --- Vol. 5, Issue 38
Last Week in Review

"THE BEST WAY TO MAKE MONEY IS TO AVOID LOSING IT." Yogi Berra Yep, it is hard to go broke taking profits off the table...and this is exactly what Bond Traders did last week, pressuring Bond prices lower and causing home loan rates to rise by about .125%, as money moved out of the Bond Market.

Remember that conforming home loan rates are tied to Bonds or "Mortgage Backed Securities" - so when Traders sell off Bonds, it causes the Bond price to go down, which in turn causes home loan rates to rise. And although most of last week's economic news was "Bond-friendly", and should have resulted in higher Bond prices and lower home loan rates, Bond Traders decided to sell some holdings and lock in their recent gains instead, ahead of what could be a volatile week of market action.

The Federal Reserve is meeting this coming week, and will release their highly anticipated Interest Rate Decision and Policy Statement on Tuesday at 2:15pm ET. So do you know what is expected from the Fed, and how their actions might save you money right away? Read on and learn, in the upcoming Forecast for the Week.

SPEAKING OF SAVING MONEY...DO YOU KNOW WHY MARCH IS THE BEST MONTH TO BUY A TELEVISION? DON'T MISS LEARNING THIS AND MORE IN THE MORTGAGE MARKET VIEW. YOU'LL GET THE SCOOP ON TIMING YOUR PURCHASES TO SAVE THE MOST, EVEN ON GAS, CLOTHING, AND FURNITURE.

Forecast for the Week

The economic calendar thickens up considerably this week, giving a read on manufacturing, inflation and housing...but many of these reports will take a back seat to the Fed's Policy Statement and Interest Rate Decision, to be released on Tuesday afternoon. Traders are forecasting a 100% chance of a Fed rate cut. About half the traders are expecting a cut of ¼%, and the others expecting a cut of ½%. Of perhaps greater importance is tone of their highly analyzed Policy Statement. Comforting words about inflation will help bonds and home loan rates.

Remember that a cut to the Fed Funds Rate would impact the Prime Rate, which affects Home Equity Lines of Credit, credit cards, business loans, car loans and the like - but does NOT have a direct correlation to home loan rates. For example, if the Fed should cut the Fed Funds Rate by .25%, you would likely see a change to your Home Equity Line of Credit by .25%, if it is tied to the Prime Rate as most are - but do not expect regular home loan rates to drop correspondingly, as the Fed's take on inflation will guide the way.

Stock prices have a history of doing well after the Fed begins to cut rates. Since 1985, there have been seven initial rate cuts by the Fed. During the year following the initial Fed rate cut, the S&P 500 has gained an average of +13.7%.

Chart: Fannie Mae 6.0% Mortgage Bond (Friday Sep 14, 2007)
Japanese Candlestick Chart

The Mortgage Market View...

TIMING IS EVERYTHING...ESPECIALLY WHEN IT COMES TO SAVING CASH!

Did you know that the fiscal year for Japanese companies ends in March? Do you care? You SHOULD...if you want the best deal on a new television for your home theater system.

That's because new models and products are scheduled for release at the beginning of the new fiscal year--which for Japanese electronics companies is April. And the release of the new models means...you guessed it...huge discounts on the previous year's models. So if you're shopping for a television, stereo or other electronics, your best bet is to watch for sales in spring.

Looking for Even More Savings?

You can save on just about every item you need...if you know what season or day of the week to purchase it. Below are some tips to help you save the most on your shopping list.

Airplane Tickets: Your best chance for saving is Wednesday morning. That's because airlines introduce their savings over the weekend and during the first few days of the week, subtle price wars begin. By early Wednesday, the savings have usually hit their peak...and there are still plenty of seats left for you to capitalize on.

Furniture: Unless you need to replace your sofa or dining room table right away, those "HUGE" weekend and holiday sales aren't the best time to buy. Instead, you should plan ahead and do your furniture shopping in October or April. That's when new lines of furniture are unveiled at industry trade shows...which means you can save big on the in-store stock that needs to be sold before the new inventory takes a seat on the showroom floor.

Cars: You probably already know that you can save on car purchases in early fall when new models are released and the current models go on sale. And you may also know that your best chance to negotiate a better price is at the end of a month when car dealers need to make their monthly quotas. But did you know you can drive home a great deal early in the week, especially during the morning? At that time, the dealerships aren't overflowing with shoppers like they are on the weekend, so you'll get more personalized attention. Plus, salespeople are more likely to negotiate when they don't have three or four other buyers waiting in the wings to pay full price.

Gas: We've all seen gas prices jump as travel weekends approach. It's a common occurrence...but it can be avoided. Whether you're planning to travel or not, the best time to top-off your tank is early Thursday morning. Then, watch the prices rise and calculate your savings!

Toys: The winter holiday season is a no-brainer for toy sales. But you can also save some serious dollars at the end of summer. Think about it...department stores only have so much room to store their merchandise. And by the end of the summer, they're starting to stock up for the big holiday push...which means they have to get rid of their current inventory of fun. So for savings of 60 percent off and more, try toy shopping as summer winds down in August.

Clothing: By the time the weekend rolls around, just about every dressing room is filled...and the best deals have been picked over already. Why? It's simple. With the large number of special promotions to be marked and shelves to be stocked, most clothing stores get started early. And savvy shoppers, like you, can get the best deals and the best selection by Thursday evenings. As an added bonus, the stores, dressing rooms, and checkout lines aren't nearly as crowded--so you save on stress too!

The moral of the story--plan ahead on your purchases and you'll be rewarded! And be sure to forward on this article to your family, friends, and coworkers too - they'll thank you for it!

The Week's Economic Indicator Calendar
Remember, as a general rule, weaker than expected economic data is good for rates, while positive data causes rates to rise.

Economic Calendar for the Week of September 17 – September 21

Date
ET
Economic Report
For
Estimate
Actual
Prior
Impact
Mon. September 17
08:30
Empire State Index
Sept
18.0
 
25.1
Moderate
Tue. September 18
08:30
Producer Price Index (PPI)
Aug
-0.1%
 
0.6%
Moderate
Tue. September 18
08:30
Core Producer Price Index (PPI)
Aug
0.1%
 
0.1%
Moderate
Tue. September 18
02:15
FOMC Meeting
 
 
 
 
HIGH
Wed. September 19
10:30
Crude Inventories
9/14
NA
 
-7011K
Moderate
Wed. September 19
08:30
Building Permits
Aug
1350K
 
1373K
Moderate
Wed. September 19
08:30
Housing Starts
Aug
1365K
 
1381K
Moderate
Wed. September 19
08:30
Core Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Aug
0.2%
 
0.2%
HIGH
Wed. September 19
08:30
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Aug
0.0%
 
0.1%
HIGH
Thu. September 20
08:30
Jobless Claims (Initial)
9/15
320K
 
319K
Moderate
Thu. September 20
10:00
Index of Leading Econ Ind (LEI)
Aug
0.0%
 
0.4%
Low
Thu. September 20
12:00
Philadelphia Fed Index
Sept
2.0
 
0.0
HIGH


The material contained in this newsletter has been prepared by an independent third-party provider. The content is provided for use by real estate, financial services and other professionals only and is not intended for consumer distribution. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, there is no guarantee it is not without errors.

As your trusted advisor, I am sending you the MMG WEEKLY because I am committed to keeping you updated on the economic events that impact interest rates and how they may affect you.

In the unlikely event that you no longer wish to receive these valuable market updates, please USE THIS LINK or email: john.m.gallardo@cox.net

If you prefer to send your removal request by mail the address is:

John Gallardo
609 Calle Ganadero
San Clemente, CA 92673

MMG II, LLC is the copyright owner or licensee of the content and/or information in this email, unless otherwise indicated.   MMG II, LLC does not grant to you a license to any content, features or materials in this email.   You may not distribute, download, or save a copy of any of the content or screens except as otherwise provided in our Terms and Conditions of Membership, for any purpose.

Equal Housing Lender          
 
2007/9/16

Get The Invitation!

The fast way to start a bible study group is with THE INVITATION to Christian discipleship

 http://cid-6e736c71916d5b41.skydrive.live.com/self.aspx/Documents/Bible%20Study%20folder/The%20INVITATION

 Please feel free to download all files from above link but as the spirit of generosity graces you, please donate to the website at:

  http://www.invitetodiscipleship.org/catalog/product_info.php/cPath/47/products_id/87?osCsid=e740db1899e8fc63e225da19fa3c3e23

As the President of this society, it is the mission of this organization to get God's Living Word to us and propagate it into the World in other languages and Countries... We are praying for Indonesia and others in need of this seven year Catholic Bible Study series. I thank you for your support and contribution to our society and solidarity to our mission.

Peace and Joy

John M Gallardo

President

PS Read below the Organization history of this 41 year old Catholic Bible Study.

The St. Joseph Society for the Propagation of The Word Presents:

 

An Invitation to Christian Discipleship

James P. O’Bryan, S.T., Author and Presenter

It was the early 1970’s when a group of laywomen in Orange, CA approached Fr. O’Bryan about the lack of Catholic Bible studies in Orange County. There was, of course, the Protestant group nearby that had signed up over 200 Catholics to their study. Father knew he couldn’t do the work without a great deal of assistance. Volunteers stepped up to do the logistical tasks and Father worked with the Holy Spirit to provide the works. This was the beginning of his “seven year sentence”. Working 60 – 65 hours per week, he was never more than two weeks ahead and, most of the time, he was working with less than a day to presentation time. His work was all hand written and needed to be typed and copied for distribution. These two hour sessions (1 hour sharing + 1 hour lecture) were attended by approximately 400 people weekly, split between a morning and an evening class. Father swears he never rewrote a word; “I didn’t have time’, he said.

 

Father’s efforts resulted in a seven year study plus several spin-off works used for educating Catholics around the world. The seven year study includes:

 

-        The Invitation (Intro to discipleship)                    -   Hebrews                

-        The Gospel of St. Mark                                         -   1 Thessalonians

-        The Gospel of St. Luke                                          -   2 Thessalonians

-        Acts of the Apostles                                              -   1 Corinthians

-        The Gospel of St. Matthew                                   -   2 Corinthians

-        The Gospel of St. John                                          -   Galatians

-        Romans                                                                 -   Revelation

                                                                                                                                                   

Other excellent teaching materials, often used in RCIA and formation classes, are the result of Father’s dedication to the laity. These materials include, “Christian with a Capital C”, “Rock Foundation Revisited” and “On Eagle’s Wings”.  In 2005, a Group was formed to help publish and distribute Father’s work. The St. Joseph Society for the Propagation of The Word, Inc. has been instrumental in setting up a web site at http://www.invitetodiscipleship.org and taking on the ministry of spreading the Gospel by promoting the instructional works of Fr. O’Bryan.  A complete listing of available materials can be found on this web site.

         Materials available include teacher’s manuals, student workbooks and CDs of lectures.  

 

This study is designed to be presented by the laity or religious. Guidelines are available for starting a study group. Of particular interest is the fact that these studies are accredited by the Catechetical Institute of Orange County and have the Imprimatur through the Bishop of Orange, California.

                       Check the web site for a study near you, or start one today.

 

Be advised, this is an “in depth” study of the scriptures so that the Word of Christ, rich as it is, might dwell in us.

            “Thus you will be able to grasp fully, with all the holy ones, the breadth and length and heights                           and depth of Christ’s love, and experience this love which surpasses all knowledge, so that you                     may attain to the fullness of God Himself” (Eph. 3:18-19).

 

Quote

My blog introduction to what I am up to?

I am launching my personal space on Windows Live to have my family, friends, and mankind at large see what is going on in my life to make a difference in our World for Peace, Faith, Hope, and Love!

 

Firstly, I would thank and praise God for all he has blessed me with a great family, friends, and society that is an awesome gift and treasure. Since the day I was born in 1958, I acknowledge all the persons in my life I will fill this BLOG with the never ending lists of names of all whom I have encountered and future persons whom are unforeseeable now in my lifetime. If you found me you are definitely in my prayers and one of the unforeseeable friends adding to my community of friends and family.

 

In answer to prayers, God lead me to a Society of Lay Christians that has a great sense of Peace and Love for all mankind. I have been with them in spirit since the beginning but really I did not know my journey or fate would be with them when it started in 1976. About twenty years later, I got started to know them through a small bible study group that continued for seven years covering the Old & New Testament scriptures in our Holy Bible. As I thought God finished with my work in that group, he continues to transforms my life in the second cycle of that study series. I know I am in a different place in my life as I gain the wisdom of the Holy Spirit through the Word of God; his spirit is required in our world for the Gifts of Heaven to come into today’s people as believers and unbelievers alike. I invite all people to discipleship, by first registering at www.invitetodiscipleship.org and start a bible study in your home, office or church. God is always waiting patiently with agape love for us; we all only have a limited amount of time here on earth. We can all make a World of… Peace by being Peaceful, Hope by being Hopeful, Faith by being Faithful, Love by being Loving to all mankind. Let’s live it …

 

Peace and Joy,

 

John Michael

 

Mortgage Market Guide week 9-17-07

If you can't see the newsletter, or would like to view it online, use this link If you have received this newsletter indirectly and would like to be added to our weekly distribution list, use this link
 
 
Provided to you Exclusively
By
John Gallardo
 
John Gallardo
Certified Mortgage Planner Specialist
Office: 949-842-9789
E-Mail: john.m.gallardo@cox.net
 
John Gallardo
 
For the week of Sep 17, 2007 --- Vol. 5, Issue 38
Last Week in Review

"THE BEST WAY TO MAKE MONEY IS TO AVOID LOSING IT." Yogi Berra Yep, it is hard to go broke taking profits off the table...and this is exactly what Bond Traders did last week, pressuring Bond prices lower and causing home loan rates to rise by about .125%, as money moved out of the Bond Market.

Remember that conforming home loan rates are tied to Bonds or "Mortgage Backed Securities" - so when Traders sell off Bonds, it causes the Bond price to go down, which in turn causes home loan rates to rise. And although most of last week's economic news was "Bond-friendly", and should have resulted in higher Bond prices and lower home loan rates, Bond Traders decided to sell some holdings and lock in their recent gains instead, ahead of what could be a volatile week of market action.

The Federal Reserve is meeting this coming week, and will release their highly anticipated Interest Rate Decision and Policy Statement on Tuesday at 2:15pm ET. So do you know what is expected from the Fed, and how their actions might save you money right away? Read on and learn, in the upcoming Forecast for the Week.

SPEAKING OF SAVING MONEY...DO YOU KNOW WHY MARCH IS THE BEST MONTH TO BUY A TELEVISION? DON'T MISS LEARNING THIS AND MORE IN THE MORTGAGE MARKET VIEW. YOU'LL GET THE SCOOP ON TIMING YOUR PURCHASES TO SAVE THE MOST, EVEN ON GAS, CLOTHING, AND FURNITURE.

Forecast for the Week

The economic calendar thickens up considerably this week, giving a read on manufacturing, inflation and housing...but many of these reports will take a back seat to the Fed's Policy Statement and Interest Rate Decision, to be released on Tuesday afternoon. Traders are forecasting a 100% chance of a Fed rate cut. About half the traders are expecting a cut of ¼%, and the others expecting a cut of ½%. Of perhaps greater importance is tone of their highly analyzed Policy Statement. Comforting words about inflation will help bonds and home loan rates.

Remember that a cut to the Fed Funds Rate would impact the Prime Rate, which affects Home Equity Lines of Credit, credit cards, business loans, car loans and the like - but does NOT have a direct correlation to home loan rates. For example, if the Fed should cut the Fed Funds Rate by .25%, you would likely see a change to your Home Equity Line of Credit by .25%, if it is tied to the Prime Rate as most are - but do not expect regular home loan rates to drop correspondingly, as the Fed's take on inflation will guide the way.

Stock prices have a history of doing well after the Fed begins to cut rates. Since 1985, there have been seven initial rate cuts by the Fed. During the year following the initial Fed rate cut, the S&P 500 has gained an average of +13.7%.

Chart: Fannie Mae 6.0% Mortgage Bond (Friday Sep 14, 2007)
Japanese Candlestick Chart

The Mortgage Market View...

TIMING IS EVERYTHING...ESPECIALLY WHEN IT COMES TO SAVING CASH!

Did you know that the fiscal year for Japanese companies ends in March? Do you care? You SHOULD...if you want the best deal on a new television for your home theater system.

That's because new models and products are scheduled for release at the beginning of the new fiscal year--which for Japanese electronics companies is April. And the release of the new models means...you guessed it...huge discounts on the previous year's models. So if you're shopping for a television, stereo or other electronics, your best bet is to watch for sales in spring.

Looking for Even More Savings?

You can save on just about every item you need...if you know what season or day of the week to purchase it. Below are some tips to help you save the most on your shopping list.

Airplane Tickets: Your best chance for saving is Wednesday morning. That's because airlines introduce their savings over the weekend and during the first few days of the week, subtle price wars begin. By early Wednesday, the savings have usually hit their peak...and there are still plenty of seats left for you to capitalize on.

Furniture: Unless you need to replace your sofa or dining room table right away, those "HUGE" weekend and holiday sales aren't the best time to buy. Instead, you should plan ahead and do your furniture shopping in October or April. That's when new lines of furniture are unveiled at industry trade shows...which means you can save big on the in-store stock that needs to be sold before the new inventory takes a seat on the showroom floor.

Cars: You probably already know that you can save on car purchases in early fall when new models are released and the current models go on sale. And you may also know that your best chance to negotiate a better price is at the end of a month when car dealers need to make their monthly quotas. But did you know you can drive home a great deal early in the week, especially during the morning? At that time, the dealerships aren't overflowing with shoppers like they are on the weekend, so you'll get more personalized attention. Plus, salespeople are more likely to negotiate when they don't have three or four other buyers waiting in the wings to pay full price.

Gas: We've all seen gas prices jump as travel weekends approach. It's a common occurrence...but it can be avoided. Whether you're planning to travel or not, the best time to top-off your tank is early Thursday morning. Then, watch the prices rise and calculate your savings!

Toys: The winter holiday season is a no-brainer for toy sales. But you can also save some serious dollars at the end of summer. Think about it...department stores only have so much room to store their merchandise. And by the end of the summer, they're starting to stock up for the big holiday push...which means they have to get rid of their current inventory of fun. So for savings of 60 percent off and more, try toy shopping as summer winds down in August.

Clothing: By the time the weekend rolls around, just about every dressing room is filled...and the best deals have been picked over already. Why? It's simple. With the large number of special promotions to be marked and shelves to be stocked, most clothing stores get started early. And savvy shoppers, like you, can get the best deals and the best selection by Thursday evenings. As an added bonus, the stores, dressing rooms, and checkout lines aren't nearly as crowded--so you save on stress too!

The moral of the story--plan ahead on your purchases and you'll be rewarded! And be sure to forward on this article to your family, friends, and coworkers too - they'll thank you for it!

The Week's Economic Indicator Calendar
Remember, as a general rule, weaker than expected economic data is good for rates, while positive data causes rates to rise.

Economic Calendar for the Week of September 17 – September 21

Date
ET
Economic Report
For
Estimate
Actual
Prior
Impact
Mon. September 17
08:30
Empire State Index
Sept
18.0
 
25.1
Moderate
Tue. September 18
08:30
Producer Price Index (PPI)
Aug
-0.1%
 
0.6%
Moderate
Tue. September 18
08:30
Core Producer Price Index (PPI)
Aug
0.1%
 
0.1%
Moderate
Tue. September 18
02:15
FOMC Meeting
 
 
 
 
HIGH
Wed. September 19
10:30
Crude Inventories
9/14
NA
 
-7011K
Moderate
Wed. September 19
08:30
Building Permits
Aug
1350K
 
1373K
Moderate
Wed. September 19
08:30
Housing Starts
Aug
1365K
 
1381K
Moderate
Wed. September 19
08:30
Core Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Aug
0.2%
 
0.2%
HIGH
Wed. September 19
08:30
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Aug
0.0%
 
0.1%
HIGH
Thu. September 20
08:30
Jobless Claims (Initial)
9/15
320K
 
319K
Moderate
Thu. September 20
10:00
Index of Leading Econ Ind (LEI)
Aug
0.0%
 
0.4%
Low
Thu. September 20
12:00
Philadelphia Fed Index
Sept
2.0
 
0.0
HIGH


The material contained in this newsletter has been prepared by an independent third-party provider. The content is provided for use by real estate, financial services and other professionals only and is not intended for consumer distribution. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, there is no guarantee it is not without errors.

As your trusted advisor, I am sending you the MMG WEEKLY because I am committed to keeping you updated on the economic events that impact interest rates and how they may affect you.

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Equal Housing Lender          
 

My blog introduction to what I am up to?

I am launching my personal space on Windows Live to have my family, friends, and mankind at large see what is going on in my life to make a difference in our World for Peace, Faith, Hope, and Love!

 

Firstly, I would thank and praise God for all he has blessed me with a great family, friends, and society that is an awesome gift and treasure. Since the day I was born in 1958, I acknowledge all the persons in my life I will fill this BLOG with the never ending lists of names of all whom I have encountered and future persons whom are unforeseeable now in my lifetime. If you found me you are definitely in my prayers and one of the unforeseeable friends adding to my community of friends and family.

 

In answer to prayers, God lead me to a Society of Lay Christians that has a great sense of Peace and Love for all mankind. I have been with them in spirit since the beginning but really I did not know my journey or fate would be with them when it started in 1976. About twenty years later, I got started to know them through a small bible study group that continued for seven years covering the Old & New Testament scriptures in our Holy Bible. As I thought God finished with my work in that group, he continues to transforms my life in the second cycle of that study series. I know I am in a different place in my life as I gain the wisdom of the Holy Spirit through the Word of God; his spirit is required in our world for the Gifts of Heaven to come into today’s people as believers and unbelievers alike. I invite all people to discipleship, by first registering at www.invitetodiscipleship.org and start a bible study in your home, office or church. God is always waiting patiently with agape love for us; we all only have a limited amount of time here on earth. We can all make a World of… Peace by being Peaceful, Hope by being Hopeful, Faith by being Faithful, Love by being Loving to all mankind. Let’s live it …

 

Peace and Joy,

 

John Michael